I think we all have gotten used to the cold weather and forgotten how impressive the past few weeks have been. These past few weeks have been much colder than what we've been used to relative to the past few years and to the 50-year average.
Last week, I talked about how a change in our weather pattern would come in the beginning of February. I go in detail in this post here - 1/25/2022 - Storm - Pattern Shift (inglisbri.wixsite.com). The latter half of the post outlined two types of weather patterns showing both ends of the spectrum.
We will not get a complete change in pattern like the models suggested a weak ago. Rather, we will get a weaker version of what we have been getting lately. The cold plunges of air will be weaker and will not reach as far south as they have been.
THEN vs NOW
THEN
NEXT TWO WEEKS OR SO
NEXT STORM
The next storm on Thursday into Friday will track along a cold front of a system centered in Canada. This means we will get a warmup on Thursday and Friday then severe cold over the weekend. This is similar to the event we had on January 20th, Snow Update (inglisbri.wixsite.com), where we had rain which changed over to snow in the morning; schools closed when they didn't need to.
It is too far out to get into the subtilties and timing of if and when rain switches over to a mix and how much of an impact there will be during the day and overnight.
I believe this event will bring a lot of rain Thursday and Friday then mixing during the day into Friday night. Temperatures will dwindle overnight and with ample wind, roads will ice up. Whether or not roads will ice up during the day is up for grabs right now, but it is unlikely.
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