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Monday Morning Snow Outlook

Writer's picture: inglisbriinglisbri

Minimal snow is expected tomorrow morning across the region. Temperatures will remain above freezing for the duration of the event. Conditions for snow will be marginal.


Carroll County

  • Heavy rain will change over to a quick burst of heavy wet snow between the hours 1 - 4 AM

  • Snow ends or switches back to rain before 7 AM

  • Snow amounts can range from a dusting to 2 inches depending on the timing of the switchover

  • Impacts will include a quick accumulation of wet slushy snow on roads which will melt quickly after sunrise

  • School delay 50 % chance

Baltimore County

  • Heavy rain may change over to a quick burst of heavy wet snow between the hours 2 - 5 AM

  • Snow ends or switches back to rain before 7 AM

  • Snow amounts can range from a dusting to an inche depending on the timing of the switchover

  • Impacts could include a quick accumulation of wet slushy snow on roads which will melt quickly after sunrise

  • School Delay 30% chance

Newark, Delaware

  • A short burst of heavy wet snow could occur around sunrise yet is unlikely to occur

  • Snow amounts could reach a wet slushy dusting

  • Impacts could a coating of slush on roads around sunrise which will melt before 8 AM


Above is an model depiction of the snow/rain line at 1 AM Monday Morning. This model shows areas like carroll county (red dot) to be switched to snow by this point in time. Again these conditions for snow are extremely marginal and temperatures are above freezing. Small factors such as elevation could affect when certain areas turn from rain to snow.


Recent model outputs show the storm system to be weaker with a weaker cold air mass behind the front causing the snow. This means a shorter period of snow and a slower transition from rain to snow. This would limit accumulations which explains my cautious accumulation predictions.

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